Let's not dilly-dally; let's check the tally! Last week we went 50/50 in all three leagues (NFL, CFL, and the FBS), so here's hoping we can rally this week!
FBS colleges -> We're already behind, as we picked the right winners in the three mid-week MAC games but were expecting closer games than the oddsmakers were...and all three were blowouts.
Here are the significant distinctions from our odds to the Vegas lines (if you don't see a game listed, we're within a couple of points of their predictions, so our recommendations are pretty soft) -
Virginia Tech @ Duke (we like the Dukies to cover the -11 spread, but lose by 4)
Wisconsin @ Northwestern (maybe it's the brains, but we think the same here - cover the -7, lose the game)
Oklahoma St @ Kansas St (the line favors KSU; we like the Cowboys to win outright!)
Texas @ Texas Tech (the line says the Longhorns win by four; we have it as a pick'em game.)
Air Force @ Army (we're surprised to see Army-West Point favored by two; we have this pick'em.)
Navy @ Notre Dame (the line says 6 1/2 for the Irish; we have it as a one-point game)
UCLA @ Colorado (our numbers still don't trust the Buffaloes: we have them -3, while Vegas has -12)
Georgia @ Kentucky (our system likes the Dawgs - we have them -10, instead of -2.5)
Florida @ Arkansas (...and the Gators rarely get our love, at -1 instead of -5 this week on our board)
Texas A&M @ Mississippi St (We think this is almost a toss-up, rather than the -13 Aggie blowout Vegas is predicting!)
Marshall @ Old Dominion (Maybe it's nostalgia, but it's hard to see the Monarchs covering -12 here)
Nevada @ New Mexico (Same song, different verse: UNM at -15 seems awfully high.)
Arkansas St @ Georgia St (Finally, tonight's most interesting game's in the Sun Belt: we have this as a toss-up, whereas Vegas is flattering our usual babies from ASU by 3!)
NFL, Week 9 -> Just about the halfway point, and we're still slightly ahead of the oddsmakers overall! Here's our thoughts for the weekend's games (ignoring ones where we agree with Vegas):
Indianapolis @ Green Bay (Seven points? The Pack should win by double that...)
Jacksonville @ Kansas City (9 1/2 is low for this game; it feels more like the one above - 15-16 points or so)
Philadelphia @ NY Giants (Vegas likes the Football Giants a lot more than we do...Eagles to win outright.)
Tennessee @ San Diego (Here I think the FOLLOWING FOOTBALL computer's going out on a limb, but it looks like the first two games: -5 1/2 isn't enough; make it more like Chargers -11.)
Finally, in the CFL's last regular season week, we're floating along at 47-30 against the spread this season, feeling pretty cocky! Here's our picks for Week 20:
Winnipeg 24, Ottawa 21
Hamilton 20, Montreal 19
Edmonton 31, Toronto 17
BC Lions 27, Saskatchewan 14.
Calgary has the bye this week, finishing the year with a loss to end at 15-2-1, one game short of the record. They and Ottawa will have the first round off next week while Hamilton, Edmonton, BC and Winnipeg duke it out for the right to face them for the conference championship and the right to compete in the 104th Grey Cup on November 27th.
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