Tuesday, October 4, 2016

We look at professional football, too - both NFL and CFL!

We have rating systems for them, too - and yes, FOLLOWING FOOTBALL has three different rating systems for three different levels of football! In the NFL, we have a handicap system - subtract one from the other (giving three point benefits to the home team) and you've got a pretty good prediction of the game outcome between the two teams in question! (That's true of the Canadian teams too, but that one's more like an ELO system.)

Here's the current team handicaps for the 32 NFL teams:

AFC)  Denver (4-0) - 9,  Pittsburgh (3-1) - 12, Cincinnati (2-2) - 13, Buffalo (2-2) and New England (3-1) - 14, Kansas City (2-2) - 15, NY Jets (1-3) - 16, Houston (3-1), Oakland (3-1), and San Diego (1-3) - 18, Baltimore (3-1) - 20, Miami (1-3) - 22, Indianapolis (1-3), Jacksonville (1-3), and Cleveland (0-4) - 25, Tennessee (1-3) - 26.

NFC) Seattle (3-1) and Minnesota (4-0) - 10, Green Bay (2-1) - 11, Arizona (1-3) - 12, Carolina (1-3) - 14, Atlanta (3-1) and Philadelphia (3-0) - 16, Detroit (1-3) - 18, Dallas (3-1) and Los Angeles (3-1) - 19,  Washington (2-2) and New Orleans (1-3) - 21,  Chicago (1-3) and San Francisco (1-3) - 22, NY Giants (2-2) - 23, Tampa Bay (1-3) - 25.

And then here's the system ratings for the nine Canadian League teams, who are five rounds from their playoffs in November! It's Calgary's to lose, as the Stampeders are on an eleven game winning streak...

Calgary Stampeders (12-1-1) - 42.6
British Columbia Lions (9-4) - 32.7
Edmonton Eskimos (7-7) - 32.6
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-6) - 31.4
Montreal Alouettes (4-9) - 29.9
Hamilton Ti-Cats (6-8) - 28.6
Ottawa RedBlacks (6-6-1) - 27.7
Saskatchewan RoughRiders (3-10) - 22.7
Toronto Argonauts (5-9) - 21.8

An average team has a rating of 30.0, and just like the college tiers, it's essentially a zero-sum game: depending on how big an upset the game is, one team gains the same amount as its opponent loses.

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