You can't go around making predictions willy-nilly without following up on them afterwards! Here in our FOLLOWING FOOTBALL segment of the Act II blog, we try to keep track publicly for you...so let's take a look!
NFL GAMES last weekend:
Seattle @ Arizona: we have the Cards as two point favorites, just about what Vegas has...what a pathetic display of kicking! Tie game...check.
Baltimore @ NY Jets: take the Jets - 1. We have them by six. And they won by eight. Check!
Buffalo @ Miami: we think the Bills should cover the -2.5...And we were wrong. But it was close..
Houston @ Denver: poor Brock. Absolutely right. Check!
Oakland @ Jacksonville: Ironically, Vegas doesn't like its new team; we do. Take the Raiders to win. And win they did, 33-16. Check!
NY Giants @ LA: this is our biggest disagreement. The Giants are a mess. Odds favor them to win; we like the Rams by seven. It's a bad sign when in our "biggest disagreement", we're completely wrong. The Rams looked like the mess; the Giants were only a mess off the field..
Finally, our system doesn't understand that Tom Terrific was gone for four weeks and thinks Pittsburgh takes New England Sunday. Personally, I disagree, and so does Sin City. And we were all right.
KEY FBS GAMES last weekend:
NC State @ Louisville: the Cards aren't blowing good teams away; take the Wolfpack +20. We could NOT have been more wrong. Louisville's first half was poetry.
Michigan St (-3) @ Maryland and Northwestern (-1.5) hosting Indiana: take the favorites, big. One out of two. NW yes; MSU no.
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech: the Red Raiders can keep it within the two TD spread. (I think.) They did. 854 total yards apiece? Good gravy...
Middle Tennessee St @ Missouri (-7): We have the game as a toss-up. That's how far the Tigers have fallen. And MTSU won by a touchdown. Poor Mizzou...
Ol' Miss @ LSU (-6): The FOLLOWING FOOTBALL tiers say this is a toss-up, but our buddy Ed Orgeron's brought the Tiger offense to life. No bet from us. LSU won, so our instincts were right.
Texas A&M @ Alabama (-16.5): If anything, we'll take the Tide and give the points. Against a top six team. Absurd. We actually think that spread's right. Couldn't have been much righter: 33-14, Tide.
Some other major Power conference games that we agree with the professionals on...Ohio St (-19.5) over Penn St...Wisconsin (-3.5) @ Iowa...Texas (+3.5) @ KSU...and Arkansas (+9.5) @ Auburn (although our tiers say it's more like a three point spread). HAH! 56-3! First time I've heard announcers say a team quit during the game. Sad day for the Hogs.
Lots of action in the AAC...
It's too late to tell you we liked Temple over USF...but we did.No, really! We did! We also like Cincinnati (-1.5) over ECU by six (31-19, Cincy!); Navy (+3) over Memphis at home by four (42-28 Navy!), and U Conn (+3.5) over UCF by two....oh well. 2 out of 3...
A few other Group of Five games... we'll take Akron (+2.5) over Ball St by that margin they won by ten, Buffalo (+22) to cover easily at poor Northern Illinois (so of course, NIU picked this weekend to come alive, 44-7), Nevada (+4) to upset Wyoming (nope...but my late wife would be happy about her Cowboys winning again!), and Texas St (+7) to at least cover if not defeat ULL. Not exactly. 27-3, ULL. Oh well.
So, slightly better than average. Overall in the pros AND the colleges, we split exactly half-and-half with our predictions: 27-27 for the FBS games, 7-7 in the NFL (compared to the Vegas line). That's about how this year's gone for us - we're slightly above .500 with the pros and slightly below with the FBS games. (Our FCS predictions have been pretty accurate, but there's really nothing definitive to compare them to.)
Hope you're enjoying the fall - and while you're at it, take in a local high school game before your season's over (this week, in some areas like ours!). Support your local programs where you can!
No comments:
Post a Comment